Representation 6834 on BMSDC Joint Local Plan Consultation Document (Interactive) by Mr Peter Powell
|Support / Object:||OBJECT|
|Document Link:||BMSDC Joint Local Plan Consultation Document (Interactive) - HOUSING, Housing Requirement, Q7|
|Representation:||The projections do not make any sense compared to the developing situation.|
|Complies with the duty to Co-operate?||No|
The housing need identified is unreliable. Historic Data now several years old has been used to project population growth without a single consideration to the effects of Brexit. The government is following a course to tighten immigration which not only should result in less migration into the area, but almost certainly will increase migration out of the area. Since Migration was the only significant factor showing population increase in the data used that would appear to indicate that Brexit will result in no population growth.
Brexit is also likely to effect business which is likely to favour the growing business economy along the HS2 route taking employment away from the area not increasing it.
But also Brexit is likely to remove many EU tradespeople from the district and the UK who will need replacing with new UK tradespeople, who will need training, which means there is likely to be a skills shortage for some time in the house building industry and that will probably mean all these houses wont get built. Or they will be built badly.
The application of a "market signals uplift" to allow for the affordablabiltyi factor is equally unsound as no consideration of local circumstances are made. A significant proportion of this factor is probably due to migration of London Commuter's and London Retirements who are cash rich from the sale of city homes buying top end homes in the countryside. These people do not have a local income so they push the median average house price up, but contribute nothing towards the median local wage.
I also fail to see how a projected population increase of 8086 persons translates into an OAN of 7820 dwellings. Is the JLP proposing that most of these homes will be single occupancy?